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20120926
20121004
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of the economy, and if that stops jobs are going to stop, too and so is everything else. >> larry, i think those are very good points. i would argue most of the weakness we are seeing in the manufacturing side is a function of much weaker export s because of weakness in europe and asia. i think what we are seeing in the latest chicago data is a catchup with all the other weakness we had seen in earlier surveys. i think the economy is weak. it's not strong by any means but the labor market looks like it is growing. i don't think it will rollover from modest job growth. claims are ploe low and tax receipts are improving. >> 1 30i7b 3% depend we got earlier this weak. a lot of people would call ate growth recession. i want to ask is this stall-speed or an actual recession? >> i think we have slowed since the 1.3% second quarter number larry. we are seeing durable goods orders down in july and august. we are seeing the pmi is down. importantly, europe is moving in to a recession. germany is now in recession and china is not doing its stimulus. you have a coordinated global slow down starts now and i
down by ten percentage points, president obama ahead on the economy, 6 in 10 voters, nearly 6 in 10, that is, said mitt romney's policies would favor the rich and mitt romney doesn't care about people like them. president obama's driving that message, going after mitt romney's predictions that he'll be tough on china saying that if you look at romney's record at bain capital, all that talk is fake. >> when you hear this newfound outrage, when you see these ads, these running problems seem to get tough on china, it seems a lot like that fox saying we need more secure chicken coops. i mean, it's just not credible. >> and larry, you can hear the confidence in president obama's voice because not only in ohio is he ahead, but in all of the major swing states president obama's got a lead right now. mitt romney's got to find a way to turn that around, turn it around in the debates, and maybe the tax cut issue that you're talking about will be one tool in that arsenal. back to you, larry. >> many thanks to john harwood. now for some reason on the trail today, mitt romney said he's going to
to which they are pumping new cash into the economy which was information that came out last night contributed to a good day in the shanghai stock market, up 2%, it's done horribly for many, many, many months, is that chinese cash injection a big surprise in the same sense that the fed's cash injection was always big surprise? >> i think them coming out and saying that -- affirm something that some people thought, just like people thought there was going to be qe-3 but it wasn't until they affirmed it and we saw stocks take off again. we saw qe 1, qe-2, qe-qe-3. look at our poverty rate, our unemployment rate. that's not a recovery. >> housing prices are getting better. >> that's a bubble. incomes aren't going up. >> housing is in a hugh bubble? >> look at what happened to mortgage rates. >> this is literally unfounded. you're combining these really big stories about poverty which is all legitimate debate to have with a shorter term story with respect to what's happening in the market and i would add after qe 1, after qe-2 and now qe-3, the initial reaction was stocks turned lower.
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